Who is the better forecaster: humans or generative AI?

The ability to forecast and predict future events with a degree of accuracy is central to many professional occupations. Utilising a prediction competition between human and AI forecasters, Philipp Schoenegger and Peter S. Park, assess their relative accuracy and draw out implications for future AI-society relations. OpenAI’s GPT-4, on which the well-known ChatGPT chat model … Continued